What is the current probability for "Marco Trungelliti vs Daniil Medvedev: Set 1 Winner"?

Current Kalshi odds for "Marco Trungelliti vs Daniil Medvedev: Set 1 Winner": Daniil Medvedev 99%, Marco Trungelliti 1% (top 2 of 2 outcomes), refreshed continuously.

When does this market resolve?

This event resolves on 8/30/2026.

How is the probability calculated?

pdata reads the latest market prices directly from kalshi's public API and normalizes them to a 0-100 probability scale. See https://pdata.world/methodology for details on per-platform conventions.

Where can I get this data programmatically?

The JSON endpoint is https://api.pdata.world/api/v1/events/kalshi/KXATPSETWINNER-26AUG16TRUMED-1. An MCP server with 9 tools is available at https://api.pdata.world/mcp. Full agent guide: https://pdata.world/agents.md.

closedtrade on Kalshi

↗

event2 outcomes

Marco Trungelliti vs Daniil Medvedev: Set 1 Winner

·Sports·ends Aug 30, 2026

vol cum

$101.1k

vol 24h

$101.1k

outcomes

ends

Aug 30, 2026

outcomesclick to inspect →

marketselected outcome

Daniil Medvedev

rank #1 · resolved: yes

99¢

▲ 99.0pp

24h change

vol cum

$58.2k

vol 24h

$58.2k

spread

1.00

ends

Aug 30, 2026

If Daniil Medvedev wins set 1 in the Marco Trungelliti vs Daniil Medvedev professional tennis match in the 2026 ATP Cincinnati Round Of 64, then the market resolves to Yes.

timeline

opened · Aug 15, 2026closedresolved · Aug 16, 2026

Daniil Medvedev · prices over time

−24h

now

volume · by outcomehover a column to inspect

no volume history

similar markets

No similar markets for sports & price markets.