What is the current probability for "Elias Ymer vs Cristian Garin: Set 1 Winner"?

Current Kalshi odds for "Elias Ymer vs Cristian Garin: Set 1 Winner": Cristian Garin 99%, Elias Ymer 1% (top 2 of 2 outcomes), refreshed continuously.

When does this market resolve?

This event resolves on 9/9/2026.

How is the probability calculated?

pdata reads the latest market prices directly from kalshi's public API and normalizes them to a 0-100 probability scale. See https://pdata.world/methodology for details on per-platform conventions.

Where can I get this data programmatically?

The JSON endpoint is https://api.pdata.world/api/v1/events/kalshi/KXATPSETWINNER-26AUG26YMEGAR-1. An MCP server with 9 tools is available at https://api.pdata.world/mcp. Full agent guide: https://pdata.world/agents.md.

closedtrade on Kalshi

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event2 outcomes

Elias Ymer vs Cristian Garin: Set 1 Winner

·Sports·ends Sep 9, 2026

vol cum

$31.6k

vol 24h

$31.6k

outcomes

ends

Sep 9, 2026

outcomesclick to inspect →

marketselected outcome

Cristian Garin

rank #1 · resolved: yes

99¢

▲ 99.0pp

24h change

vol cum

$28.6k

vol 24h

$28.6k

spread

0.01

ends

Sep 9, 2026

If Cristian Garin wins set 1 in the Elias Ymer vs Cristian Garin professional tennis match in the 2026 US Open Men Singles Qualification Round 2, then the market resolves to Yes.

timeline

opened · Aug 24, 2026closedresolved · Aug 26, 2026

Cristian Garin · prices over time

−24h

now

volume · by outcomehover a column to inspect

no volume history

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