What is the current probability for "Frances Tiafoe vs Jan Choinski: Set 1 Winner"?

Current Kalshi odds for "Frances Tiafoe vs Jan Choinski: Set 1 Winner": Jan Choinski 64%, Frances Tiafoe 32% (top 2 of 2 outcomes), refreshed continuously.

When does this market resolve?

This event resolves on 7/16/2026.

How is the probability calculated?

pdata reads the latest market prices directly from kalshi's public API and normalizes them to a 0-100 probability scale. See https://pdata.world/methodology for details on per-platform conventions.

Where can I get this data programmatically?

The JSON endpoint is https://api.pdata.world/api/v1/events/kalshi/KXATPSETWINNER-26JUL02TIACHO-1. An MCP server with 9 tools is available at https://api.pdata.world/mcp. Full agent guide: https://pdata.world/agents.md.

opentrade on Kalshi

↗

event2 outcomes

Frances Tiafoe vs Jan Choinski: Set 1 Winner

·Sports·ends Jul 16, 2026

vol cum

$58.4k

vol 24h

$47.2k

outcomes

ends

Jul 16, 2026

outcomesclick to inspect →

marketselected outcome

Jan Choinski

rank #1

64¢

▲ 64.0pp

24h change

vol cum

$28.8k

vol 24h

$22.9k

spread

0.06

ends

Jul 16, 2026

If Jan Choinski wins set 1 in the Frances Tiafoe vs Jan Choinski professional tennis match in the 2026 Wimbledon Men Singles Round Of 64, then the market resolves to Yes.

timeline

opened · Jul 1, 2026opencloses · Jul 16, 2026

Jan Choinski · prices over time

−24h

now

volume · by outcomehover a column to inspect

no volume history

similar markets

No similar markets for sports & price markets.