What is the current probability for "Max Dahlin vs Sebastian Baez: Set 1 Winner"?

Current Kalshi odds for "Max Dahlin vs Sebastian Baez: Set 1 Winner": Max Dahlin 99%, Sebastian Baez 1% (top 2 of 2 outcomes), refreshed continuously.

When does this market resolve?

This event resolves on 7/26/2026.

How is the probability calculated?

pdata reads the latest market prices directly from kalshi's public API and normalizes them to a 0-100 probability scale. See https://pdata.world/methodology for details on per-platform conventions.

Where can I get this data programmatically?

The JSON endpoint is https://api.pdata.world/api/v1/events/kalshi/KXATPSETWINNER-26JUL12DAHBAE-1. An MCP server with 9 tools is available at https://api.pdata.world/mcp. Full agent guide: https://pdata.world/agents.md.

closedtrade on Kalshi

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event2 outcomes

Max Dahlin vs Sebastian Baez: Set 1 Winner

·Sports·ends Jul 26, 2026

vol cum

$66.9k

vol 24h

$66.8k

outcomes

ends

Jul 26, 2026

outcomesclick to inspect →

marketselected outcome

Max Dahlin

rank #1 · resolved: yes

99¢

▲ 87.0pp

24h change

vol cum

$36.5k

vol 24h

$36.4k

spread

1.00

ends

Jul 26, 2026

If Max Dahlin wins set 1 in the Max Dahlin vs Sebastian Baez professional tennis match in the 2026 ATP Bastad Round Of 32, then the market resolves to Yes.

timeline

opened · Jul 11, 2026closedresolved · Jul 14, 2026

Max Dahlin · prices over time

−24h

now

volume · by outcomehover a column to inspect

no volume history

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