What is the current probability for "Sebastian Baez vs Arthur Rinderknech: Set 2 Winner"?

Current Kalshi odds for "Sebastian Baez vs Arthur Rinderknech: Set 2 Winner": Arthur Rinderknech 91%, Sebastian Baez 8% (top 2 of 2 outcomes), refreshed continuously.

When does this market resolve?

This event resolves on 8/5/2026.

How is the probability calculated?

pdata reads the latest market prices directly from kalshi's public API and normalizes them to a 0-100 probability scale. See https://pdata.world/methodology for details on per-platform conventions.

Where can I get this data programmatically?

The JSON endpoint is https://api.pdata.world/api/v1/events/kalshi/KXATPSETWINNER-26JUL22BAERIN-2. An MCP server with 9 tools is available at https://api.pdata.world/mcp. Full agent guide: https://pdata.world/agents.md.

opentrade on Kalshi

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event2 outcomes

Sebastian Baez vs Arthur Rinderknech: Set 2 Winner

·Sports·ends Aug 5, 2026

vol cum

$39.7k

vol 24h

$28.2k

outcomes

ends

Aug 5, 2026

outcomesclick to inspect →

marketselected outcome

Arthur Rinderknech

rank #1

91¢

▲ 91.0pp

24h change

vol cum

$29.6k

vol 24h

$20.2k

spread

0.04

ends

Aug 5, 2026

If Arthur Rinderknech wins set 2 in the Sebastian Baez vs Arthur Rinderknech professional tennis match in the 2026 ATP Kitzbuhel Round Of 16, then the market resolves to Yes.

timeline

opened · Jul 21, 2026opencloses · Aug 5, 2026

Arthur Rinderknech · prices over time

−24h

now

volume · by outcomehover a column to inspect

no volume history

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