What is the current probability for "Carlos Alcaraz vs Denis Shapovalov: Set 2 Winner"?

Current Kalshi odds for "Carlos Alcaraz vs Denis Shapovalov: Set 2 Winner": Carlos Alcaraz 87%, Denis Shapovalov 25% (top 2 of 2 outcomes), refreshed continuously.

When does this market resolve?

This event resolves on Oct 18, 2026.

How is the probability calculated?

pdata reads the latest market prices directly from kalshi's public API and normalizes them to a 0-100 probability scale. See https://pdata.world/methodology for details on per-platform conventions.

Where can I get this data programmatically?

The JSON endpoint is https://api.pdata.world/api/v1/events/kalshi/KXATPSETWINNER-26OCT03ALCSHA-2. An MCP server with 9 tools is available at https://api.pdata.world/mcp. Full agent guide: https://pdata.world/agents.md.

closedtrade on Kalshi

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event2 outcomes

Carlos Alcaraz vs Denis Shapovalov: Set 2 Winner

·Sports·ends Oct 18, 2026

vol cum

$53.8k

vol 24h

$53.8k

outcomes

ends

Oct 18, 2026

outcomesclick to inspect →

marketselected outcome

Carlos Alcaraz

rank #1 · resolved: yes

87¢

▲ 87.0pp

24h change

vol cum

$37k

vol 24h

$37k

spread

0.25

ends

Oct 18, 2026

If Carlos Alcaraz wins set 2 in the Carlos Alcaraz vs Denis Shapovalov professional tennis match in the 2026 ATP Tokyo Quarterfinal, then the market resolves to Yes.

timeline

opened · Oct 3, 2026closedresolved · Oct 18, 2026

Carlos Alcaraz · prices over time

−24h

now

volume · by outcomehover a column to inspect

no volume history

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No similar markets for sports & price markets.