What is the current probability for "Luka Pavlovic vs Ilia Simakin: Set 2 Winner"?

Current Kalshi odds for "Luka Pavlovic vs Ilia Simakin: Set 2 Winner": Ilia Simakin 99%, Luka Pavlovic 1% (top 2 of 2 outcomes), refreshed continuously.

When does this market resolve?

This event resolves on Oct 19, 2026.

How is the probability calculated?

pdata reads the latest market prices directly from kalshi's public API and normalizes them to a 0-100 probability scale. See https://pdata.world/methodology for details on per-platform conventions.

Where can I get this data programmatically?

The JSON endpoint is https://api.pdata.world/api/v1/events/kalshi/KXATPSETWINNER-26OCT05PAVSIM-2. An MCP server with 9 tools is available at https://api.pdata.world/mcp. Full agent guide: https://pdata.world/agents.md.

closedtrade on Kalshi

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event2 outcomes

Luka Pavlovic vs Ilia Simakin: Set 2 Winner

·Sports·ends Oct 19, 2026

vol cum

$12.1k

vol 24h

$12.1k

outcomes

ends

Oct 19, 2026

outcomesclick to inspect →

marketselected outcome

Ilia Simakin

rank #1 · resolved: yes

99¢

▲ 99.0pp

24h change

vol cum

$10.4k

vol 24h

$10.4k

spread

1.00

ends

Oct 19, 2026

If Ilia Simakin wins set 2 in the Luka Pavlovic vs Ilia Simakin professional tennis match in the 2026 ATP Shanghai Qualification Round 1, then the market resolves to Yes.

timeline

opened · Oct 4, 2026closedresolved · Oct 5, 2026

Ilia Simakin · prices over time

−24h

now

volume · by outcomehover a column to inspect

no volume history

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