What is the current probability for "Juan Manuel Cerundolo vs Arthur Gea: Set 4 Winner"?

Current Kalshi odds for "Juan Manuel Cerundolo vs Arthur Gea: Set 4 Winner": Arthur Gea 93%, Juan Manuel Cerundolo 13% (top 2 of 2 outcomes), refreshed continuously.

When does this market resolve?

This event resolves on Sep 15, 2026.

How is the probability calculated?

pdata reads the latest market prices directly from kalshi's public API and normalizes them to a 0-100 probability scale. See https://pdata.world/methodology for details on per-platform conventions.

Where can I get this data programmatically?

The JSON endpoint is https://api.pdata.world/api/v1/events/kalshi/KXATPSETWINNER-26SEP01CERGEA-4. An MCP server with 9 tools is available at https://api.pdata.world/mcp. Full agent guide: https://pdata.world/agents.md.

opentrade on Kalshi

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event2 outcomes

Juan Manuel Cerundolo vs Arthur Gea: Set 4 Winner

·Sports·ends Sep 15, 2026

vol cum

$42.1k

vol 24h

$41.7k

outcomes

ends

Sep 15, 2026

outcomesclick to inspect →

marketselected outcome

Arthur Gea

rank #1

93¢

▲ 50.0pp

24h change

vol cum

$28.1k

vol 24h

$27.8k

spread

0.04

ends

Sep 15, 2026

If Arthur Gea wins set 4 in the Juan Manuel Cerundolo vs Arthur Gea professional tennis match in the 2026 US Open Men Singles Round Of 128, then the market resolves to Yes.

timeline

opened · Sep 1, 2026opencloses · Sep 15, 2026

Arthur Gea · prices over time

−24h

now

volume · by outcomehover a column to inspect

no volume history

similar markets

No similar markets for sports & price markets.