What is the current probability for "Jaime Faria vs Carlos Alcaraz: Set 4 Winner"?

Current Kalshi odds for "Jaime Faria vs Carlos Alcaraz: Set 4 Winner": Carlos Alcaraz 99%, Jaime Faria 3% (top 2 of 2 outcomes), refreshed continuously.

When does this market resolve?

This event resolves on Sep 17, 2026.

How is the probability calculated?

pdata reads the latest market prices directly from kalshi's public API and normalizes them to a 0-100 probability scale. See https://pdata.world/methodology for details on per-platform conventions.

Where can I get this data programmatically?

The JSON endpoint is https://api.pdata.world/api/v1/events/kalshi/KXATPSETWINNER-26SEP02FARALC-4. An MCP server with 9 tools is available at https://api.pdata.world/mcp. Full agent guide: https://pdata.world/agents.md.

opentrade on Kalshi

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event2 outcomes

Jaime Faria vs Carlos Alcaraz: Set 4 Winner

·Sports·ends Sep 17, 2026

vol cum

$41.2k

vol 24h

$37.3k

outcomes

ends

Sep 17, 2026

outcomesclick to inspect →

marketselected outcome

Carlos Alcaraz

rank #1

99¢

▲ 99.0pp

24h change

vol cum

$33k

vol 24h

$29.3k

spread

0.01

ends

Sep 17, 2026

If Carlos Alcaraz wins set 4 in the Jaime Faria vs Carlos Alcaraz professional tennis match in the 2026 US Open Men Singles Round Of 64, then the market resolves to Yes.

timeline

opened · Sep 3, 2026opencloses · Sep 17, 2026

Carlos Alcaraz · prices over time

−24h

now

volume · by outcomehover a column to inspect

no volume history

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