What is the current probability for "Daniil Medvedev vs Frances Tiafoe: Set 3 Winner"?

Current Kalshi odds for "Daniil Medvedev vs Frances Tiafoe: Set 3 Winner": Daniil Medvedev 65%, Frances Tiafoe 35% (top 2 of 2 outcomes), refreshed continuously.

When does this market resolve?

This event resolves on Sep 20, 2026.

How is the probability calculated?

pdata reads the latest market prices directly from kalshi's public API and normalizes them to a 0-100 probability scale. See https://pdata.world/methodology for details on per-platform conventions.

Where can I get this data programmatically?

The JSON endpoint is https://api.pdata.world/api/v1/events/kalshi/KXATPSETWINNER-26SEP06MEDTIA-3. An MCP server with 9 tools is available at https://api.pdata.world/mcp. Full agent guide: https://pdata.world/agents.md.

opentrade on Kalshi

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event2 outcomes

Daniil Medvedev vs Frances Tiafoe: Set 3 Winner

·Sports·ends Sep 20, 2026

vol cum

$638.8k

vol 24h

$549.3k

outcomes

ends

Sep 20, 2026

outcomesclick to inspect →

marketselected outcome

Daniil Medvedev

rank #1

65¢

▲ 65.0pp

24h change

vol cum

$265.3k

vol 24h

$232.3k

spread

0.05

ends

Sep 20, 2026

If Daniil Medvedev wins set 3 in the Daniil Medvedev vs Frances Tiafoe professional tennis match in the 2026 US Open Men Singles Round Of 16, then the market resolves to Yes.

timeline

opened · Sep 5, 2026opencloses · Sep 20, 2026

Daniil Medvedev · prices over time

−24h

now

volume · by outcomehover a column to inspect

no volume history

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