What is the current probability for "Tommy Paul vs Carlos Alcaraz: Set 3 Winner"?

Current Kalshi odds for "Tommy Paul vs Carlos Alcaraz: Set 3 Winner": Carlos Alcaraz 77%, Tommy Paul 24% (top 2 of 2 outcomes), refreshed continuously.

When does this market resolve?

This event resolves on Sep 20, 2026.

How is the probability calculated?

pdata reads the latest market prices directly from kalshi's public API and normalizes them to a 0-100 probability scale. See https://pdata.world/methodology for details on per-platform conventions.

Where can I get this data programmatically?

The JSON endpoint is https://api.pdata.world/api/v1/events/kalshi/KXATPSETWINNER-26SEP06PAUALC-3. An MCP server with 9 tools is available at https://api.pdata.world/mcp. Full agent guide: https://pdata.world/agents.md.

opentrade on Kalshi

↗

event2 outcomes

Tommy Paul vs Carlos Alcaraz: Set 3 Winner

·Sports·ends Sep 20, 2026

vol cum

$72.8k

vol 24h

$60.2k

outcomes

ends

Sep 20, 2026

outcomesclick to inspect →

marketselected outcome

Carlos Alcaraz

rank #1

77¢

▲ 77.0pp

24h change

vol cum

$26.1k

vol 24h

$13.8k

spread

0.01

ends

Sep 20, 2026

If Carlos Alcaraz wins set 3 in the Tommy Paul vs Carlos Alcaraz professional tennis match in the 2026 US Open Men Singles Round Of 16, then the market resolves to Yes.

timeline

opened · Sep 4, 2026opencloses · Sep 20, 2026

Carlos Alcaraz · prices over time

−24h

now

volume · by outcomehover a column to inspect

no volume history

similar markets

No similar markets for sports & price markets.