What is the current probability for "Frances Tiafoe vs Alex Michelsen: Set 3 Winner"?

Current Kalshi odds for "Frances Tiafoe vs Alex Michelsen: Set 3 Winner": Alex Michelsen 85%, Frances Tiafoe 13% (top 2 of 2 outcomes), refreshed continuously.

When does this market resolve?

This event resolves on Sep 22, 2026.

How is the probability calculated?

pdata reads the latest market prices directly from kalshi's public API and normalizes them to a 0-100 probability scale. See https://pdata.world/methodology for details on per-platform conventions.

Where can I get this data programmatically?

The JSON endpoint is https://api.pdata.world/api/v1/events/kalshi/KXATPSETWINNER-26SEP08TIAMIC-3. An MCP server with 9 tools is available at https://api.pdata.world/mcp. Full agent guide: https://pdata.world/agents.md.

opentrade on Kalshi

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event2 outcomes

Frances Tiafoe vs Alex Michelsen: Set 3 Winner

·Sports·ends Sep 22, 2026

vol cum

$402.7k

vol 24h

$355.3k

outcomes

ends

Sep 22, 2026

outcomesclick to inspect →

marketselected outcome

Alex Michelsen

rank #1

85¢

▲ 85.0pp

24h change

vol cum

$195.6k

vol 24h

$177.2k

spread

0.01

ends

Sep 22, 2026

If Alex Michelsen wins set 3 in the Frances Tiafoe vs Alex Michelsen professional tennis match in the 2026 US Open Men Singles Quarterfinal, then the market resolves to Yes.

timeline

opened · Sep 6, 2026opencloses · Sep 22, 2026

Alex Michelsen · prices over time

−24h

now

volume · by outcomehover a column to inspect

no volume history

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