What is the current probability for "Frances Tiafoe vs Alex Michelsen: Set 4 Winner"?

Current Kalshi odds for "Frances Tiafoe vs Alex Michelsen: Set 4 Winner": Frances Tiafoe 99%, Alex Michelsen 1% (top 2 of 2 outcomes), refreshed continuously.

When does this market resolve?

This event resolves on Sep 22, 2026.

How is the probability calculated?

pdata reads the latest market prices directly from kalshi's public API and normalizes them to a 0-100 probability scale. See https://pdata.world/methodology for details on per-platform conventions.

Where can I get this data programmatically?

The JSON endpoint is https://api.pdata.world/api/v1/events/kalshi/KXATPSETWINNER-26SEP08TIAMIC-4. An MCP server with 9 tools is available at https://api.pdata.world/mcp. Full agent guide: https://pdata.world/agents.md.

closedtrade on Kalshi

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event2 outcomes

Frances Tiafoe vs Alex Michelsen: Set 4 Winner

·Sports·ends Sep 22, 2026

vol cum

$254k

vol 24h

$253.9k

outcomes

ends

Sep 22, 2026

outcomesclick to inspect →

marketselected outcome

Frances Tiafoe

rank #1 · resolved: yes

99¢

▲ 10.0pp

24h change

vol cum

$157.9k

vol 24h

$157.8k

spread

1.00

ends

Sep 22, 2026

If Frances Tiafoe wins set 4 in the Frances Tiafoe vs Alex Michelsen professional tennis match in the 2026 US Open Men Singles Quarterfinal, then the market resolves to Yes.

timeline

opened · Sep 8, 2026closedresolved · Sep 8, 2026

Frances Tiafoe · prices over time

−24h

now

volume · by outcomehover a column to inspect

no volume history

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No similar markets for sports & price markets.