What is the current probability for "Luca Castelnuovo vs Pavel Kotov: Set 2 Winner"?

Current Kalshi odds for "Luca Castelnuovo vs Pavel Kotov: Set 2 Winner": Pavel Kotov 99%, Luca Castelnuovo 1% (top 2 of 2 outcomes), refreshed continuously.

When does this market resolve?

This event resolves on Oct 6, 2026.

How is the probability calculated?

pdata reads the latest market prices directly from kalshi's public API and normalizes them to a 0-100 probability scale. See https://pdata.world/methodology for details on per-platform conventions.

Where can I get this data programmatically?

The JSON endpoint is https://api.pdata.world/api/v1/events/kalshi/KXATPSETWINNER-26SEP22CASKOT-2. An MCP server with 9 tools is available at https://api.pdata.world/mcp. Full agent guide: https://pdata.world/agents.md.

closedtrade on Kalshi

↗

event2 outcomes

Luca Castelnuovo vs Pavel Kotov: Set 2 Winner

·Sports·ends Oct 6, 2026

vol cum

$50.7k

vol 24h

$50.7k

outcomes

ends

Oct 6, 2026

outcomesclick to inspect →

marketselected outcome

Pavel Kotov

rank #1 · resolved: yes

99¢

▲ 99.0pp

24h change

vol cum

$23.6k

vol 24h

$23.6k

spread

1.00

ends

Oct 6, 2026

If Pavel Kotov wins set 2 in the Luca Castelnuovo vs Pavel Kotov professional tennis match in the 2026 ATP Chengdu Qualification Round 1, then the market resolves to Yes.

timeline

opened · Sep 21, 2026closedresolved · Sep 22, 2026

Pavel Kotov · prices over time

−24h

now

volume · by outcomehover a column to inspect

no volume history

similar markets

No similar markets for sports & price markets.