What is the current probability for "Alejandro Tabilo vs Adrian Mannarino: Set 1 Winner"?

Current Kalshi odds for "Alejandro Tabilo vs Adrian Mannarino: Set 1 Winner": Adrian Mannarino 99%, Alejandro Tabilo 1% (top 2 of 2 outcomes), refreshed continuously.

When does this market resolve?

This event resolves on Oct 9, 2026.

How is the probability calculated?

pdata reads the latest market prices directly from kalshi's public API and normalizes them to a 0-100 probability scale. See https://pdata.world/methodology for details on per-platform conventions.

Where can I get this data programmatically?

The JSON endpoint is https://api.pdata.world/api/v1/events/kalshi/KXATPSETWINNER-26SEP25TABMAN-1. An MCP server with 9 tools is available at https://api.pdata.world/mcp. Full agent guide: https://pdata.world/agents.md.

closedtrade on Kalshi

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event2 outcomes

Alejandro Tabilo vs Adrian Mannarino: Set 1 Winner

·Sports·ends Oct 9, 2026

vol cum

$94.1k

vol 24h

$94.1k

outcomes

ends

Oct 9, 2026

outcomesclick to inspect →

marketselected outcome

Adrian Mannarino

rank #1 · resolved: yes

99¢

▲ 99.0pp

24h change

vol cum

$40.8k

vol 24h

$40.7k

spread

1.00

ends

Oct 9, 2026

If Adrian Mannarino wins set 1 in the Alejandro Tabilo vs Adrian Mannarino professional tennis match in the 2026 ATP Chengdu Round Of 16, then the market resolves to Yes.

timeline

opened · Sep 24, 2026closedresolved · Sep 25, 2026

Adrian Mannarino · prices over time

−24h

now

volume · by outcomehover a column to inspect

no volume history

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