What is the current probability for "Tomas Machac vs Arthur Gea: Set 1 Winner"?

Current Kalshi odds for "Tomas Machac vs Arthur Gea: Set 1 Winner": Arthur Gea 58%, Tomas Machac 44% (top 2 of 2 outcomes), refreshed continuously.

When does this market resolve?

This event resolves on Oct 13, 2026.

How is the probability calculated?

pdata reads the latest market prices directly from kalshi's public API and normalizes them to a 0-100 probability scale. See https://pdata.world/methodology for details on per-platform conventions.

Where can I get this data programmatically?

The JSON endpoint is https://api.pdata.world/api/v1/events/kalshi/KXATPSETWINNER-26SEP28MACGEA-1. An MCP server with 9 tools is available at https://api.pdata.world/mcp. Full agent guide: https://pdata.world/agents.md.

opentrade on Kalshi

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event2 outcomes

Tomas Machac vs Arthur Gea: Set 1 Winner

·Sports·ends Oct 13, 2026

vol cum

$13.6k

vol 24h

$11.9k

outcomes

ends

Oct 13, 2026

outcomesclick to inspect →

marketselected outcome

Arthur Gea

rank #1

58¢

▲ 58.0pp

24h change

vol cum

$7.5k

vol 24h

$7.2k

spread

0.02

ends

Oct 13, 2026

If Arthur Gea wins set 1 in the Tomas Machac vs Arthur Gea professional tennis match in the 2026 ATP Beijing Qualification Final, then the market resolves to Yes.

timeline

opened · Sep 28, 2026opencloses · Oct 13, 2026

Arthur Gea · prices over time

−24h

now

volume · by outcomehover a column to inspect

no volume history

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No similar markets for sports & price markets.