Question 1

What is the current probability for "American Express cards-in-force in Q3"?

Accepted Answer

The contested Kalshi outcomes for "American Express cards-in-force in Q3" are Above 155.5 million 88%, Above 156 million 79%, Above 156.5 million 60% — 2 of 10 outcomes are already 95%+. Refreshed continuously.

Question 2

When does this market resolve?

Accepted Answer

This event resolves on 2/13/2027.

Question 3

How is the probability calculated?

Accepted Answer

pdata reads the latest market prices directly from kalshi's public API and normalizes them to a 0-100 probability scale. See https://pdata.world/methodology for details on per-platform conventions.

Question 4

Where can I get this data programmatically?

Accepted Answer

The JSON endpoint is https://api.pdata.world/api/v1/events/kalshi/KXAXP-26OCTCARDS. An MCP server with 9 tools is available at https://api.pdata.world/mcp. Full agent guide: https://pdata.world/agents.md.