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event10 outcomes

What will the biggest earthquake be on Nov 2, 2026?

Kalshi·Climate and Weather·ends Dec 2, 2026

As of 09:11 UTC on 2 Nov 2026, the highest-priced of the 10 markets in “What will the biggest earthquake be on Nov 2, 2026?” on Kalshi are “Magnitude of at least 5.2” at 91%, “Magnitude of at least 5.4” at 64% (+64pp in 24h) and “Magnitude of at least 5.6” at 53% (+53pp in 24h). The event has $2.6k in Kalshi-reported 24-hour volume. pdata.world compares it with 23 related events on Polymarket, Kalshi and Gemini.

vol cum
$2.6k
vol 24h
$2.6k
outcomes
10
ends
Dec 2, 2026
outcomesclick to inspect →
showing 5 of 10
marketselected outcome
Magnitude of at least 5.2
rank #1
91¢
▲ 91.0pp
24h change
vol cum
$370
vol 24h
$370
spread
0.25
ends
Dec 2, 2026

If the highest USGS-reported earthquake magnitude worldwide during Nov 2, 2026 from 12:00:00 AM through 11:59:59 PM UTC is 5.2 or higher, then the market resolves to Yes.

timeline
opened · Nov 1, 2026opencloses · Dec 2, 2026
Magnitude of at least 5.2 · prices over time
−24h
now
volume · by outcomehover a column to inspect
no volume history

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