event10 outcomes

What will the biggest earthquake be on Nov 4, 2026?

Kalshi·Climate and Weather·ends Dec 4, 2026

As of 12:46 UTC on 4 Nov 2026, the highest-priced of the 10 markets in “What will the biggest earthquake be on Nov 4, 2026?” on Kalshi are “Magnitude of at least 5.2” at 74%, “Magnitude of at least 5.4” at 59% (+59pp in 24h) and “Magnitude of at least 5.6” at 41% (+41pp in 24h). The event has $2.9k in Kalshi-reported 24-hour volume. pdata.world compares it with 23 related events on Polymarket, Kalshi and Gemini.

vol cum

$2.9k

vol 24h

$2.9k

outcomes

ends

Dec 4, 2026

outcomesclick to inspect →

showing 5 of 10

marketselected outcome

Magnitude of at least 5.2

rank #1

74¢

▲ 74.0pp

24h change

vol cum

$430

vol 24h

$430

spread

0.02

ends

Dec 4, 2026

If the highest USGS-reported earthquake magnitude worldwide during Nov 4, 2026 from 12:00:00 AM through 11:59:59 PM UTC is 5.2 or higher, then the market resolves to Yes.

timeline

opened · Nov 3, 2026opencloses · Dec 4, 2026

Magnitude of at least 5.2 · prices over time

−24h

now

volume · by outcomehover a column to inspect

no volume history