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event10 outcomes

What will the biggest earthquake be on Oct 10, 2026?

Kalshi·Climate and Weather·ends Nov 9, 2026

As of 01:42 UTC on 10 Oct 2026, the highest-priced of the 10 markets in “What will the biggest earthquake be on Oct 10, 2026?” on Kalshi are “Magnitude of at least 5.2” at 88%, “Magnitude of at least 5.4” at 83% and “Magnitude of at least 5.6” at 68% (+68pp in 24h). The event has $4.4k in Kalshi-reported 24-hour volume. pdata.world compares it with 24 related events on Polymarket, Kalshi and Gemini.

vol cum
$4.4k
vol 24h
$4.4k
outcomes
10
ends
Nov 9, 2026
outcomesclick to inspect →
showing 5 of 10
marketselected outcome
Magnitude of at least 5.2
rank #1
88¢
▲ 88.0pp
24h change
vol cum
$237
vol 24h
$237
spread
0.09
ends
Nov 9, 2026

If the highest USGS-reported earthquake magnitude worldwide during Oct 10, 2026 from 12:00:00 AM through 11:59:59 PM UTC is 5.2 or higher, then the market resolves to Yes.

timeline
opened · Oct 9, 2026opencloses · Nov 9, 2026
Magnitude of at least 5.2 · prices over time
−24h
now
volume · by outcomehover a column to inspect
no volume history

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