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event10 outcomes

What will the biggest earthquake be on Oct 12, 2026?

Kalshi·Climate and Weather·ends Nov 11, 2026

As of 04:03 UTC on 12 Oct 2026, the highest-priced of the 10 markets in “What will the biggest earthquake be on Oct 12, 2026?” on Kalshi are “Magnitude of at least 5.2” at 94%, “Magnitude of at least 5.4” at 75% and “Magnitude of at least 5.6” at 59% (+59pp in 24h). The event has $2.5k in Kalshi-reported 24-hour volume. pdata.world compares it with 23 related events on Polymarket, Kalshi and Gemini.

vol cum
$2.6k
vol 24h
$2.5k
outcomes
10
ends
Nov 11, 2026
outcomesclick to inspect →
showing 5 of 10
marketselected outcome
Magnitude of at least 5.2
rank #1
94¢
▲ 94.0pp
24h change
vol cum
$0
vol 24h
$0
spread
0.05
ends
Nov 11, 2026

If the highest USGS-reported earthquake magnitude worldwide during Oct 12, 2026 from 12:00:00 AM through 11:59:59 PM UTC is 5.2 or higher, then the market resolves to Yes.

timeline
opened · Oct 11, 2026opencloses · Nov 11, 2026
Magnitude of at least 5.2 · prices over time
−24h
now
volume · by outcomehover a column to inspect
no volume history

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