event10 outcomes

What will the biggest earthquake be on Oct 15, 2026?

Kalshi·Climate and Weather·ends Nov 14, 2026

As of 06:34 UTC on 15 Oct 2026, the highest-priced of the 10 markets in “What will the biggest earthquake be on Oct 15, 2026?” on Kalshi are “Magnitude of at least 5.2” at 99% (+8pp in 24h), “Magnitude of at least 5.4” at 72% and “Magnitude of at least 5.6” at 60% (+60pp in 24h). The event has $4.5k in Kalshi-reported 24-hour volume. pdata.world compares it with 23 related events on Polymarket, Kalshi and Gemini.

vol cum

$4.5k

vol 24h

$4.5k

outcomes

ends

Nov 14, 2026

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showing 5 of 10

marketselected outcome

Magnitude of at least 5.2

rank #1 · resolved: yes

99¢

▲ 8.0pp

24h change

vol cum

$2.1k

vol 24h

$2.1k

spread

1.00

ends

Nov 14, 2026

If the highest USGS-reported earthquake magnitude worldwide during Oct 15, 2026 from 12:00:00 AM through 11:59:59 PM UTC is 5.2 or higher, then the market resolves to Yes.

timeline

opened · Oct 14, 2026closedresolved · Oct 15, 2026

Magnitude of at least 5.2 · prices over time

−24h

now

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