marketsingle market
New business applications monthly record in 2026?
United States
65%
▲ 65.0pp
24h change
vol cum
$3.8k
vol 24h
$3.8k
spread
0.01
ends
Jan 22, 2027
Yes 65¢
No 35¢
If the US business applications are above 546,719 in any month during 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
For purposes of this market, “U.S. business applications” refers to Business Applications: Total for All NAICS in the United States, FRED series BABATOTALSAUS. This series is reported monthly, seasonally adjusted, and sourced from the U.S. Census Bureau’s Business Formation Statistics. This market will use the first value published by Federal Reserve Economic Data for each relevant month. Revisions released after the first publication of a monthly value will not be considered.
timeline
opened · Jul 8, 2026opencloses · Jan 22, 2027