Question 1

What is the current probability for "Who will run for President of Brazil?"?

Accepted Answer

pdata aggregates live probability data for "Who will run for President of Brazil?" from kalshi. See the markets list on this page for current values, refreshed continuously.

Question 2

When does this market resolve?

Accepted Answer

This event resolves on 10/4/2026.

Question 3

How is the probability calculated?

Accepted Answer

pdata reads the latest market prices directly from kalshi's public API and normalizes them to a 0-100 probability scale. See https://pdata.world/methodology for details on per-platform conventions.

Question 4

Where can I get this data programmatically?

Accepted Answer

The JSON endpoint is https://api.pdata.world/api/v1/events/kalshi/KXBRBALLOT-26. An MCP server with 9 tools is available at https://api.pdata.world/mcp. Full agent guide: https://pdata.world/agents.md.

Who will run for President of Brazil?

Markets

Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva

Jair Bolsonaro

Renan Santos

Flávio Bolsonaro

Tarcisio de Frietas

Eduardo Bolsonaro

Ratinho Júnior