What is the current probability for "Brent crude oil price on July 21, 2026 at 5:00 PM EDT?"?

The contested Kalshi outcomes for "Brent crude oil price on July 21, 2026 at 5:00 PM EDT?" are above $85 93%, above $85.50 90%, above $86 87% — 4 of 20 outcomes are already 95%+. Refreshed continuously.

When does this market resolve?

This event resolves on 7/28/2026.

How is the probability calculated?

pdata reads the latest market prices directly from kalshi's public API and normalizes them to a 0-100 probability scale. See https://pdata.world/methodology for details on per-platform conventions.

Where can I get this data programmatically?

The JSON endpoint is https://api.pdata.world/api/v1/events/kalshi/KXBRENTD-26JUL2117. An MCP server with 9 tools is available at https://api.pdata.world/mcp. Full agent guide: https://pdata.world/agents.md.

opentrade on Kalshi

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event20 outcomes

Brent crude oil price on July 21, 2026 at 5:00 PM EDT?

·Commodities·ends Jul 28, 2026

vol cum

$23.3k

vol 24h

$22k

outcomes

ends

Jul 28, 2026

outcomesclick to inspect →

showing 5 of 20

marketselected outcome

above $83

rank #1

98¢

▲ 98.0pp

24h change

vol cum

$200

vol 24h

$200

spread

0.01

ends

Jul 28, 2026

If the close price of the 1-minute candlestick for brent crude oil using the BRENTU6 contract on July 21, 2026 at 5:00 PM EDT is above 83 USD/Bbl, then the market resolves to Yes.

timeline

opened · Jul 20, 2026opencloses · Jul 28, 2026

above $83 · prices over time

−24h

now

volume · by outcomehover a column to inspect

no volume history

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