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Brazil Presidential Election First Round: Margin of Victory
·Elections·ends Oct 4, 2027vol cum
$25.8k
vol 24h
$3.1k
outcomes
11
ends
Oct 4, 2027
outcomesclick to inspect →
showing 5 of 11
marketselected outcome
Flávio Bolsonaro, 5-10%
rank #1
Brazil
54¢
▲ 53.0pp
24h change
vol cum
$2.1k
vol 24h
$1.1k
spread
0.06
ends
Oct 4, 2027
If the margin of victory for Flávio Bolsonaro in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election falls within 5% to 10%, inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound, then the market resolves to Yes.
timeline
opened · Apr 23, 2026opencloses · Oct 4, 2027
Flávio Bolsonaro, 5-10% · prices over time
−24h
now
volume · by outcomehover a column to inspect
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