What is the current probability for "Brazil presidential election: 5th place (1st round)"?

Current Kalshi odds for "Brazil presidential election: 5th place (1st round)": Ronaldo Caiado 32%, Romeu Zema 23%, Renan Santos 6% (top 3 of 13 outcomes), refreshed continuously.

When does this market resolve?

This event resolves on Oct 4, 2027.

How is the probability calculated?

pdata reads the latest market prices directly from kalshi's public API and normalizes them to a 0-100 probability scale. See https://pdata.world/methodology for details on per-platform conventions.

Where can I get this data programmatically?

The JSON endpoint is https://api.pdata.world/api/v1/events/kalshi/KXBRPRESIDENT5-BRPRES26-5. An MCP server with 9 tools is available at https://api.pdata.world/mcp. Full agent guide: https://pdata.world/agents.md.

opentrade on Kalshi

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event13 outcomes

Brazil presidential election: 5th place (1st round)

·Elections·ends Oct 4, 2027

vol cum

$20.2k

vol 24h

$20.2k

outcomes

ends

Oct 4, 2027

outcomesclick to inspect →

showing 5 of 13

marketselected outcome

Ronaldo Caiado

rank #1

Brazil

32¢

▲ 32.0pp

24h change

vol cum

$1.4k

vol 24h

$1.4k

spread

0.05

ends

Oct 4, 2027

If Ronaldo Caiado finishes in 5th place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election according to the certified results, then the market resolves to Yes.

timeline

opened · Sep 1, 2026opencloses · Oct 4, 2027

Ronaldo Caiado · prices over time

−24h

now

volume · by outcomehover a column to inspect

no volume history