What is the current probability for "When will Bitcoin cross $100k again?"?

Current Kalshi odds for "When will Bitcoin cross $100k again?": Before January 2027 17%, Before December 2026 12%, Before November 2026 3% (top 3 of 10 outcomes), refreshed continuously.

When does this market resolve?

This event resolves on Jan 31, 2027.

How is the probability calculated?

pdata reads the latest market prices directly from kalshi's public API and normalizes them to a 0-100 probability scale. See https://pdata.world/methodology for details on per-platform conventions.

Where can I get this data programmatically?

The JSON endpoint is https://api.pdata.world/api/v1/events/kalshi/KXBTCMAX100-26. An MCP server with 9 tools is available at https://api.pdata.world/mcp. Full agent guide: https://pdata.world/agents.md.

opentrade on Kalshi

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event10 outcomes

When will Bitcoin cross $100k again?

·Crypto·ends Jan 31, 2027

vol cum

$3M

vol 24h

$40.9k

outcomes

ends

Jan 31, 2027

outcomesclick to inspect →

showing 5 of 10

marketselected outcome

Before January 2027

rank #1

17¢

▼ 5.0pp

24h change

vol cum

$1.1M

vol 24h

$15.9k

spread

0.01

ends

Jan 31, 2027

If the Bitcoin spot price according to the CF Bitcoin Real-Time Index is above $100000.00 starting 02/17/2026 04:00 PM and before Jan 1, 2027 at 12:00AM ET, then the market resolves to Yes.

timeline

opened · Feb 17, 2026opencloses · Jan 31, 2027

Before January 2027 · prices over time

−24h

now

volume · by outcomehover a column to inspect

no volume history

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