What is the current probability for "When will Bitcoin hit $150k?"?

Current Kalshi odds for "When will Bitcoin hit $150k?": Before January 2027 4%, Before May 2026 1%, Before September 2026 1% (top 3 of 8 outcomes), refreshed continuously.

When does this market resolve?

This event resolves on Jan 31, 2027.

How is the probability calculated?

pdata reads the latest market prices directly from kalshi's public API and normalizes them to a 0-100 probability scale. See https://pdata.world/methodology for details on per-platform conventions.

Where can I get this data programmatically?

The JSON endpoint is https://api.pdata.world/api/v1/events/kalshi/KXBTCMAX150-25. An MCP server with 9 tools is available at https://api.pdata.world/mcp. Full agent guide: https://pdata.world/agents.md.

opentrade on Kalshi

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event8 outcomes

When will Bitcoin hit $150k?

·Crypto·ends Jan 31, 2027

vol cum

$3.3M

vol 24h

$10.8k

outcomes

ends

Jan 31, 2027

outcomesclick to inspect →

showing 5 of 8

marketselected outcome

Before January 2027

rank #1

4¢

· 0.0pp

24h change

vol cum

$1.4M

vol 24h

$10.8k

spread

0.01

ends

Jan 31, 2027

If the price of Bitcoin is above || Count || by || Date || at || Time ||, then the market resolves to Yes.

timeline

opened · Apr 4, 2026opencloses · Jan 31, 2027

Before January 2027 · prices over time

−24h

now

volume · by outcomehover a column to inspect

no volume history

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