What is the current probability for "How high will Bitcoin get in 2026?"?

Current Kalshi odds for "How high will Bitcoin get in 2026?": Above $99,999.99 17%, Above $109,999.99 10%, Above $119,999.99 9% (top 3 of 7 outcomes), refreshed continuously.

When does this market resolve?

This event resolves on Jan 31, 2027.

How is the probability calculated?

pdata reads the latest market prices directly from kalshi's public API and normalizes them to a 0-100 probability scale. See https://pdata.world/methodology for details on per-platform conventions.

Where can I get this data programmatically?

The JSON endpoint is https://api.pdata.world/api/v1/events/kalshi/KXBTCMAXY-26DEC31. An MCP server with 9 tools is available at https://api.pdata.world/mcp. Full agent guide: https://pdata.world/agents.md.

opentrade on Kalshi

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event7 outcomes

How high will Bitcoin get in 2026?

·Crypto·ends Jan 31, 2027

vol cum

$4.7M

vol 24h

$11.8k

outcomes

ends

Jan 31, 2027

outcomesclick to inspect →

showing 5 of 7

marketselected outcome

Above $99,999.99

rank #1

17¢

▼ 7.0pp

24h change

vol cum

$1.4M

vol 24h

$3.5k

spread

0.01

ends

Jan 31, 2027

If the Bitcoin spot price according to the CF Bitcoin Real-Time Index is above $99999.99 starting 01/02/2026 06:00 PM and before Dec 31, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET, then the market resolves to Yes.

timeline

opened · Jan 2, 2026opencloses · Jan 31, 2027

Above $99,999.99 · prices over time

−24h

now

volume · by outcomehover a column to inspect

no volume history

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