What is the current probability for "How low will BTC get in October?"?

Current Kalshi odds for "How low will BTC get in October?": Below $80,000.00 69%, Below $77,500.00 46%, Below $75,000.00 33% (top 3 of 8 outcomes), refreshed continuously.

When does this market resolve?

This event resolves on Nov 8, 2026.

How is the probability calculated?

pdata reads the latest market prices directly from kalshi's public API and normalizes them to a 0-100 probability scale. See https://pdata.world/methodology for details on per-platform conventions.

Where can I get this data programmatically?

The JSON endpoint is https://api.pdata.world/api/v1/events/kalshi/KXBTCMINMON-BTC-26OCT31. An MCP server with 9 tools is available at https://api.pdata.world/mcp. Full agent guide: https://pdata.world/agents.md.

opentrade on Kalshi

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event8 outcomes

How low will BTC get in October?

·Crypto·ends Nov 8, 2026

vol cum

$24.1k

vol 24h

$24.1k

outcomes

ends

Nov 8, 2026

outcomesclick to inspect →

showing 5 of 8

marketselected outcome

Below $80,000.00

rank #1

69¢

▲ 69.0pp

24h change

vol cum

vol 24h

spread

0.10

ends

Nov 8, 2026

If the price of BTC after issuance and through 11:59 PM ET on Oct 31, 2026 is ever below $80000.00, then the market resolves to Yes.

timeline

opened · Oct 1, 2026opencloses · Nov 8, 2026

Below $80,000.00 · prices over time

−24h

now

volume · by outcomehover a column to inspect

no volume history

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