Question 1

What is the current probability for "Bitcoin price at the end of 2026"?

Accepted Answer

Current Kalshi odds for "Bitcoin price at the end of 2026": 65,000 to 69,999.99 11%, 60,000 to 64,999.99 10%, 55,000 to 59,999.99 9% (top 3 of 28 outcomes), refreshed continuously.

Question 2

When does this market resolve?

Accepted Answer

This event resolves on 1/8/2027.

Question 3

How is the probability calculated?

Accepted Answer

pdata reads the latest market prices directly from kalshi's public API and normalizes them to a 0-100 probability scale. See https://pdata.world/methodology for details on per-platform conventions.

Question 4

Where can I get this data programmatically?

Accepted Answer

The JSON endpoint is https://api.pdata.world/api/v1/events/kalshi/KXBTCY-27JAN0100. An MCP server with 9 tools is available at https://api.pdata.world/mcp. Full agent guide: https://pdata.world/agents.md.

Bitcoin price at the end of 2026

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