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event8 outcomes

California Proposition 40 election margin of victory? (No)

Kalshi·Elections·ends Nov 3, 2027

As of 03:48 UTC on 9 Nov 2026, the highest-priced of the 8 markets in “California Proposition 40 election margin of victory? (No)” on Kalshi are “No, ≥4%” at 97% (+20pp in 24h), “No, ≥1%” at 97% and “No, ≥7%” at 14% (-12pp in 24h). The event has $5.5k in Kalshi-reported 24-hour volume. pdata.world compares it with 22 related events on Kalshi and Polymarket.

vol cum
$117.2k
vol 24h
$5.5k
outcomes
8
ends
Nov 3, 2027
outcomesclick to inspect →
showing 5 of 8
marketselected outcome
No, ≥4%
rank #1
United States
97¢
▲ 20.0pp
24h change
vol cum
$25.5k
vol 24h
$4.2k
spread
0.06
ends
Nov 3, 2027

If the margin of victory for No in the 2026 California Proposition 40 election is at or above 4%, then the market resolves to Yes.

timeline
opened · Sep 22, 2026opencloses · Nov 3, 2027
No, ≥4% · prices over time
−24h
now
volume · by outcomehover a column to inspect
no volume history

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