What is the current probability for "Reserve Bank of Australia rate decision in September"?

Current Kalshi odds for "Reserve Bank of Australia rate decision in September": Maintain current rate 88%, Hike 1-25bps 8%, Cut 1-25bps 2% (top 3 of 5 outcomes), refreshed continuously.

When does this market resolve?

This event resolves on 10/5/2026.

How is the probability calculated?

pdata reads the latest market prices directly from kalshi's public API and normalizes them to a 0-100 probability scale. See https://pdata.world/methodology for details on per-platform conventions.

Where can I get this data programmatically?

The JSON endpoint is https://api.pdata.world/api/v1/events/kalshi/KXCBDECISIONAUSTRALIA-26SEP28. An MCP server with 9 tools is available at https://api.pdata.world/mcp. Full agent guide: https://pdata.world/agents.md.

opentrade on Kalshi

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event5 outcomes

Reserve Bank of Australia rate decision in September

·Economy·ends Oct 5, 2026

vol cum

$11.5k

vol 24h

$11.5k

outcomes

ends

Oct 5, 2026

outcomesclick to inspect →

marketselected outcome

Maintain current rate

rank #1

88¢

▲ 88.0pp

24h change

vol cum

$509

vol 24h

$509

spread

0.02

ends

Oct 5, 2026

If the Reserve Bank of Australia takes the action of Maintain current rate at the September Monetary Policy Board meeting, then the market resolves to Yes.

timeline

opened · Aug 10, 2026opencloses · Oct 5, 2026

Maintain current rate · prices over time

−24h

now

volume · by outcomehover a column to inspect

no volume history