What is the current probability for "European Central Bank rate decision in September"?

Current Kalshi odds for "European Central Bank rate decision in September": Hike 1-25bps 99%, Maintain current rate 2%, Cut 1-25bps 1% (top 3 of 5 outcomes), refreshed continuously.

When does this market resolve?

This event resolves on Sep 17, 2026.

How is the probability calculated?

pdata reads the latest market prices directly from kalshi's public API and normalizes them to a 0-100 probability scale. See https://pdata.world/methodology for details on per-platform conventions.

Where can I get this data programmatically?

The JSON endpoint is https://api.pdata.world/api/v1/events/kalshi/KXCBDECISIONEU-26SEP10. An MCP server with 9 tools is available at https://api.pdata.world/mcp. Full agent guide: https://pdata.world/agents.md.

opentrade on Kalshi

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event5 outcomes

European Central Bank rate decision in September

·Economy·ends Sep 17, 2026

vol cum

$90.8k

vol 24h

$24.4k

outcomes

ends

Sep 17, 2026

outcomesclick to inspect →

marketselected outcome

Hike 1-25bps

rank #1

European Union

99¢

· 0.0pp

24h change

vol cum

$16.8k

vol 24h

$346

spread

0.01

ends

Sep 17, 2026

If the European Central Bank takes the action of Hike 1-25bps at September ECB Governing Council monetary policy meeting, then the market resolves to Yes.

timeline

opened · Jul 22, 2026opencloses · Sep 17, 2026

Hike 1-25bps · prices over time

−24h

now

volume · by outcomehover a column to inspect

no volume history