What is the current probability for "FIDE World Chess Championship 2026 Winner"?

Current Kalshi odds for "FIDE World Chess Championship 2026 Winner": Javokhir Sindarov 68%, Gukesh Dommaraju 32%, Andrey Esipenko 1% (top 3 of 9 outcomes), refreshed continuously.

When does this market resolve?

This event resolves on Dec 30, 2028.

How is the probability calculated?

pdata reads the latest market prices directly from kalshi's public API and normalizes them to a 0-100 probability scale. See https://pdata.world/methodology for details on per-platform conventions.

Where can I get this data programmatically?

The JSON endpoint is https://api.pdata.world/api/v1/events/kalshi/KXCHESSWORLDCHAMPION-CHESS26. An MCP server with 9 tools is available at https://api.pdata.world/mcp. Full agent guide: https://pdata.world/agents.md.

opentrade on Kalshi

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event9 outcomes

FIDE World Chess Championship 2026 Winner

·Sports·ends Dec 30, 2028

vol cum

$2.1M

vol 24h

$12.4k

outcomes

ends

Dec 30, 2028

outcomesclick to inspect →

showing 5 of 9

marketselected outcome

Javokhir Sindarov

rank #1

68¢

▼ 1.0pp

24h change

vol cum

$260.4k

vol 24h

$1.1k

spread

0.02

ends

Dec 30, 2028

If Javokhir Sindarov wins the World Chess Championship, then the market resolves to Yes.

timeline

opened · Jan 27, 2026opencloses · Dec 30, 2028

Javokhir Sindarov · prices over time

−24h

now

volume · by outcomehover a column to inspect

no volume history

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No similar markets for sports & price markets.