Question 1

What is the current probability for "China balance of trade for May 2026"?

Accepted Answer

pdata aggregates live probability data for "China balance of trade for May 2026" from kalshi. See the markets list on this page for current values, refreshed continuously.

Question 2

When does this market resolve?

Accepted Answer

This event resolves on 6/16/2026.

Question 3

How is the probability calculated?

Accepted Answer

pdata reads the latest market prices directly from kalshi's public API and normalizes them to a 0-100 probability scale. See https://pdata.world/methodology for details on per-platform conventions.

Question 4

Where can I get this data programmatically?

Accepted Answer

The JSON endpoint is https://api.pdata.world/api/v1/events/kalshi/KXCHTRADEBAL-26JUN08. An MCP server with 9 tools is available at https://api.pdata.world/mcp. Full agent guide: https://pdata.world/agents.md.

China balance of trade for May 2026

Markets

Above 20.0B USD

Above 90.0B USD

Above 160.0B USD

Above 50.0B USD

Above 100.0B USD

Above 110.0B USD

Above 120.0B USD

Above 130.0B USD

Above 140.0B USD

Above 150.0B USD

Above 30.0B USD

Above 40.0B USD

Above 60.0B USD

Above 70.0B USD

Above 80.0B USD