Question 1

What is the current probability for "When will Anthropic release Claude 5?"?

Accepted Answer

pdata aggregates live probability data for "When will Anthropic release Claude 5?" from kalshi. See the markets list on this page for current values, refreshed continuously.

Question 2

When does this market resolve?

Accepted Answer

This event resolves on 11/8/2026.

Question 3

How is the probability calculated?

Accepted Answer

pdata reads the latest market prices directly from kalshi's public API and normalizes them to a 0-100 probability scale. See https://pdata.world/methodology for details on per-platform conventions.

Question 4

Where can I get this data programmatically?

Accepted Answer

The JSON endpoint is https://api.pdata.world/api/v1/events/kalshi/KXCLAUDE-CLAU. An MCP server with 9 tools is available at https://api.pdata.world/mcp. Full agent guide: https://pdata.world/agents.md.

When will Anthropic release Claude 5?

Markets

Before Nov 1, 2026

Before Oct 1, 2026

Before Sep 1, 2026

Before Aug 1, 2026

Before Jun 1, 2026

Before Jul 1, 2026

Before May 1, 2026