What is the current probability for "Who will win the next Colombian presidential election?"?

Current Kalshi odds for "Who will win the next Colombian presidential election?": Abelardo de la Espriella 98%, Iván Cepeda 3%, Santiago Botero 0% (top 3 of 12 outcomes), refreshed continuously.

When does this market resolve?

This event resolves on 5/31/2027.

How is the probability calculated?

pdata reads the latest market prices directly from kalshi's public API and normalizes them to a 0-100 probability scale. See https://pdata.world/methodology for details on per-platform conventions.

Where can I get this data programmatically?

The JSON endpoint is https://api.pdata.world/api/v1/events/kalshi/KXCOLOMBIAPRES-26. An MCP server with 9 tools is available at https://api.pdata.world/mcp. Full agent guide: https://pdata.world/agents.md.

opentrade on Kalshi

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event12 outcomes

Who will win the next Colombian presidential election?

·Elections·ends May 31, 2027

vol cum

$3.4M

vol 24h

$914.5k

outcomes

ends

May 31, 2027

outcomesclick to inspect →

showing 5 of 12

marketselected outcome

Iván Cepeda

rank #2

Colombia

3¢

▼ 12.4pp

24h change

vol cum

$1.6M

vol 24h

$588.7k

spread

0.01

ends

May 31, 2027

If the winner of the next Colombian presidential election scheduled to be held in 2026 (at the latest) is Iván Cepeda Castro, then the market resolves to Yes.

timeline

opened · Sep 15, 2025opencloses · May 31, 2027

Iván Cepeda · prices over time

−24h

now

volume · by outcomehover a column to inspect

no volume history