What is the current probability for "Dark Moon vs. Fortress"?

Current Kalshi odds for "Dark Moon vs. Fortress": Dark Moon 99%, Fortress 1% (top 2 of 2 outcomes), refreshed continuously.

When does this market resolve?

This event resolves on 7/16/2026.

How is the probability calculated?

pdata reads the latest market prices directly from kalshi's public API and normalizes them to a 0-100 probability scale. See https://pdata.world/methodology for details on per-platform conventions.

Where can I get this data programmatically?

The JSON endpoint is https://api.pdata.world/api/v1/events/kalshi/KXCS2GAME-26JUL141430DMFOR. An MCP server with 9 tools is available at https://api.pdata.world/mcp. Full agent guide: https://pdata.world/agents.md.

opentrade on Kalshi

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event2 outcomes

Dark Moon vs. Fortress

·Sports·ends Jul 16, 2026

vol cum

$12.4k

vol 24h

$10.6k

outcomes

ends

Jul 16, 2026

outcomesclick to inspect →

marketselected outcome

Dark Moon

rank #1

99¢

▲ 99.0pp

24h change

vol cum

$9k

vol 24h

$7.8k

spread

0.01

ends

Jul 16, 2026

If Dark Moon wins the ESEA Advanced Europe 2026: Dark Moon vs. Fortress CS2 match originally scheduled for Jul 14, 2026 at 2:30 PM EDT, then the market resolves to Yes.

timeline

opened · Jul 14, 2026opencloses · Jul 16, 2026

Dark Moon · prices over time

−24h

now

volume · by outcomehover a column to inspect

no volume history

similar markets

No similar markets for sports & price markets.