What is the current probability for "Astralis vs. Alliance: Map 1"?

Current Kalshi odds for "Astralis vs. Alliance: Map 1": Alliance 99%, Astralis 1% (top 2 of 2 outcomes), refreshed continuously.

When does this market resolve?

This event resolves on Oct 3, 2026.

How is the probability calculated?

pdata reads the latest market prices directly from kalshi's public API and normalizes them to a 0-100 probability scale. See https://pdata.world/methodology for details on per-platform conventions.

Where can I get this data programmatically?

The JSON endpoint is https://api.pdata.world/api/v1/events/kalshi/KXCS2MAP-26OCT011100ASTALL-1. An MCP server with 9 tools is available at https://api.pdata.world/mcp. Full agent guide: https://pdata.world/agents.md.

closedtrade on Kalshi

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event2 outcomes

Astralis vs. Alliance: Map 1

·Sports·ends Oct 3, 2026

vol cum

$118.6k

vol 24h

$118.6k

outcomes

ends

Oct 3, 2026

outcomesclick to inspect →

marketselected outcome

Alliance

rank #1 · resolved: yes

99¢

▲ 99.0pp

24h change

vol cum

$54.9k

vol 24h

$54.9k

spread

1.00

ends

Oct 3, 2026

If Alliance wins map 1 in the Stake Ranked Episode 4 2026: Astralis vs. Alliance CS2 match originally scheduled for Oct 1, 2026 at 11:00 AM EDT, then the market resolves to Yes.

timeline

opened · Sep 29, 2026closedresolved · Oct 1, 2026

Alliance · prices over time

−24h

now

volume · by outcomehover a column to inspect

no volume history

similar markets

No similar markets for sports & price markets.