Question 1

What is the current probability for "Tour de France: Stage 4 Winner"?

Accepted Answer

The contested Kalshi outcomes for "Tour de France: Stage 4 Winner" are Isaac Del Toro Romero 94%, Mads Pedersen 34%, Mathias Vacek 14% — 2 of 184 outcomes are already 95%+. Refreshed continuously.

Question 2

When does this market resolve?

Accepted Answer

This event resolves on 8/9/2026.

Question 3

How is the probability calculated?

Accepted Answer

pdata reads the latest market prices directly from kalshi's public API and normalizes them to a 0-100 probability scale. See https://pdata.world/methodology for details on per-platform conventions.

Question 4

Where can I get this data programmatically?

Accepted Answer

The JSON endpoint is https://api.pdata.world/api/v1/events/kalshi/KXCYCLINGSTAGE-26TDFRSTAGE4. An MCP server with 9 tools is available at https://api.pdata.world/mcp. Full agent guide: https://pdata.world/agents.md.

Tour de France: Stage 4 Winner

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