What is the current probability for "de Minaur vs Majchrzak"?

Current Kalshi odds for "de Minaur vs Majchrzak": Alex de Minaur 80%, Kamil Majchrzak 21% (top 2 of 2 outcomes), refreshed continuously.

When does this market resolve?

This event resolves on Oct 4, 2026.

How is the probability calculated?

pdata reads the latest market prices directly from kalshi's public API and normalizes them to a 0-100 probability scale. See https://pdata.world/methodology for details on per-platform conventions.

Where can I get this data programmatically?

The JSON endpoint is https://api.pdata.world/api/v1/events/kalshi/KXDAVISCUPMATCH-26SEP20DEMAJ. An MCP server with 9 tools is available at https://api.pdata.world/mcp. Full agent guide: https://pdata.world/agents.md.

opentrade on Kalshi

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event2 outcomes

de Minaur vs Majchrzak

·Sports·ends Oct 4, 2026

vol cum

$11.4k

vol 24h

$11.3k

outcomes

ends

Oct 4, 2026

outcomesclick to inspect →

marketselected outcome

Alex de Minaur

rank #1

80¢

▲ 80.0pp

24h change

vol cum

$10.7k

vol 24h

$10.7k

spread

0.01

ends

Oct 4, 2026

If Alex de Minaur wins the de Minaur vs Majchrzak professional tennis match in the 2026 Davis Cup round after a ball has been played, then the market resolves to Yes.

timeline

opened · Sep 19, 2026opencloses · Oct 4, 2026

Alex de Minaur · prices over time

−24h

now

volume · by outcomehover a column to inspect

no volume history

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