What is the current probability for "What will Karen Bass or Nithya Raman say during the LA Mayor debate?"?

The contested Kalshi outcomes for "What will Karen Bass or Nithya Raman say during the LA Mayor debate?" are Homeless / Homelessness 91%, Budget / Deficit 90%, Wildfire / Fire 90% — 2 of 20 outcomes are already 95%+. Refreshed continuously.

When does this market resolve?

This event resolves on 9/3/2026.

How is the probability calculated?

pdata reads the latest market prices directly from kalshi's public API and normalizes them to a 0-100 probability scale. See https://pdata.world/methodology for details on per-platform conventions.

Where can I get this data programmatically?

The JSON endpoint is https://api.pdata.world/api/v1/events/kalshi/KXDEBATEMENTION-26AUG19. An MCP server with 9 tools is available at https://api.pdata.world/mcp. Full agent guide: https://pdata.world/agents.md.

opentrade on Kalshi

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event20 outcomes

What will Karen Bass or Nithya Raman say during the LA Mayor debate?

·Mentions·ends Sep 3, 2026

vol cum

$11.7k

vol 24h

$11.1k

outcomes

ends

Sep 3, 2026

outcomesclick to inspect →

showing 5 of 20

marketselected outcome

Safe / Safer / Safety

rank #1

97¢

▲ 97.0pp

24h change

vol cum

$889

vol 24h

$888

spread

0.02

ends

Sep 3, 2026

If Karen Bass or Nithya Raman says Safe / Safer / Safety as part of Los Angeles Mayor debate originally scheduled for August 19, 2026 , then the market resolves to Yes.

timeline

opened · Aug 19, 2026opencloses · Sep 3, 2026

Safe / Safer / Safety · prices over time

−24h

now

volume · by outcomehover a column to inspect

no volume history