What is the current probability for "What will Progressive say during their next earnings call?"?

Current Kalshi odds for "What will Progressive say during their next earnings call?": Catastrophe 66%, Iran / Middle East 50%, Buyback 41% (top 3 of 12 outcomes), refreshed continuously.

When does this market resolve?

This event resolves on 12/31/2026.

How is the probability calculated?

pdata reads the latest market prices directly from kalshi's public API and normalizes them to a 0-100 probability scale. See https://pdata.world/methodology for details on per-platform conventions.

Where can I get this data programmatically?

The JSON endpoint is https://api.pdata.world/api/v1/events/kalshi/KXEARNINGSMENTIONPGR-26JUL15. An MCP server with 9 tools is available at https://api.pdata.world/mcp. Full agent guide: https://pdata.world/agents.md.

opentrade on Kalshi

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event12 outcomes

What will Progressive say during their next earnings call?

·Mentions·ends Dec 31, 2026

vol cum

$14.7k

vol 24h

$14.7k

outcomes

ends

Dec 31, 2026

outcomesclick to inspect →

showing 5 of 12

marketselected outcome

Catastrophe

rank #1

66¢

▲ 66.0pp

24h change

vol cum

$239

vol 24h

$239

spread

0.63

ends

Dec 31, 2026

If Catastrophe is said by any The Progressive Corporation representative (including the operator of the call) during the next The Progressive Corporation earnings call (including the Q+A), then the market resolves to Yes.

timeline

opened · Jul 2, 2026opencloses · Dec 31, 2026

Catastrophe · prices over time

−24h

now

volume · by outcomehover a column to inspect

no volume history