Question 1

What is the current probability for "eBay gross merchandise volume in 2026"?

Accepted Answer

The contested Kalshi outcomes for "eBay gross merchandise volume in 2026" are Above $85.5 billion 92%, Above $86 billion 83%, Above $86.5 billion 79% — 3 of 17 outcomes are already 95%+. Refreshed continuously.

Question 2

When does this market resolve?

Accepted Answer

This event resolves on 3/31/2028.

Question 3

How is the probability calculated?

Accepted Answer

pdata reads the latest market prices directly from kalshi's public API and normalizes them to a 0-100 probability scale. See https://pdata.world/methodology for details on per-platform conventions.

Question 4

Where can I get this data programmatically?

Accepted Answer

The JSON endpoint is https://api.pdata.world/api/v1/events/kalshi/KXEBAYA-28JANGMV. An MCP server with 9 tools is available at https://api.pdata.world/mcp. Full agent guide: https://pdata.world/agents.md.

eBay gross merchandise volume in 2026

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