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Unemployment rate in Aug 2026? · Exactly 4.6% 21% — Kalshi odds
markets
·
Economy
open
trade on
↗
event
23 outcomes
Unemployment rate in Aug 2026?
·
Economy
·
ends Dec 4, 2026
U
vol cum
$1.2k
vol 24h
$0
outcomes
23
ends
Dec 4, 2026
outcomes
click to inspect →
E
Exactly 4.6%
21¢
· 0.0
pp
E
Exactly 4.5%
20¢
· 0.0
pp
E
Exactly 4.4%
19¢
· 0.0
pp
E
Exactly 4.2%
14¢
· 0.0
pp
E
Exactly 4.3%
14¢
· 0.0
pp
showing 5 of 23
see 10 more ↓
market
selected outcome
Exactly 4.6%
rank #1
E
21¢
· 0.0
pp
24h change
vol cum
$260
vol 24h
$0
spread
0.99
ends
Dec 4, 2026
If the Unemployment rate is exactly 4.6% in Aug 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
timeline
opened
· Dec 15, 2025
open
closes
· Dec 4, 2026
prices over time · Exactly 4.6% highlighted
24h
7d
30d
all
−24h
now
volume · by outcome
hover a column to inspect
no volume history
similar markets
suggested by pdata
kalshi
Jobs numbers in Aug 2026?
Above -25,000
85
¢
· 0.0
pp
Above 0
85
¢
· 0.0
pp
Above 10,000
82
¢
· 0.0
pp
+10 others
$0 24h · 13 markets
polymarket
How high will US unemployment go in 2026?
5.5%
12
¢
▲ 2.7
pp
6.0%
10
¢
▲ 1.5
pp
10.0%
3
¢
▲ 0.5
pp
+2 others
$697 24h · 5 markets
kalshi
Unemployment rate in Sep 2026?
Exactly 4.4%
17
¢
· 0.0
pp
Exactly 4.5%
16
¢
· 0.0
pp
Exactly 4.6%
12
¢
· 0.0
pp
+20 others
$0 24h · 23 markets
polymarket
GDP growth in 2026
>2.5%
51
¢
▲ 8.0
pp
1.5–2.0%
19
¢
▲ 0.2
pp
2.0–2.5%
18
¢
· 0.0
pp
+3 others
$0 24h · 6 markets
kalshi
Unemployment rate in Jul 2026?
Exactly 4.1%
7
¢
▲ 1.0
pp
Exactly 4.3%
73
¢
· 0.0
pp
Exactly 4.5%
17
¢
· 0.0
pp
+20 others
$29 24h · 23 markets
polymarket
US economic state at the end of 2026?
Overheating (Unemployment <5.0%, Inflation ≥3.5%)
51
¢
▼ 6.5
pp
Soft Landing (Unemployment <5.0%, Inflation <3.5%)
27
¢
▲ 6.0
pp
Slack (Unemployment ≥5.0%, Inflation <3.5%)
18
¢
· 0.0
pp
+1 others
$2 24h · 4 markets
+6 more