What is the current probability for "Midterms: which issue matters most to voters?"?

Current Kalshi odds for "Midterms: which issue matters most to voters?": Economy and cost of living 90%, Iran war and foreign policy 5%, Democracy 3% (top 3 of 7 outcomes), refreshed continuously.

When does this market resolve?

This event resolves on Feb 6, 2027.

How is the probability calculated?

pdata reads the latest market prices directly from kalshi's public API and normalizes them to a 0-100 probability scale. See https://pdata.world/methodology for details on per-platform conventions.

Where can I get this data programmatically?

The JSON endpoint is https://api.pdata.world/api/v1/events/kalshi/KXEXITPOLLISSUE-26NOV06. An MCP server with 9 tools is available at https://api.pdata.world/mcp. Full agent guide: https://pdata.world/agents.md.

opentrade on Kalshi

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event7 outcomes

Midterms: which issue matters most to voters?

·Elections·ends Feb 6, 2027

vol cum

$42k

vol 24h

$42k

outcomes

ends

Feb 6, 2027

outcomesclick to inspect →

showing 5 of 7

marketselected outcome

Economy and cost of living

rank #1

United States

90¢

▲ 90.0pp

24h change

vol cum

$7.8k

vol 24h

$7.8k

spread

0.03

ends

Feb 6, 2027

If the issue voters rank most important in the 2026 national U.S. House exit poll maps to Economy and cost of living, then the market resolves to Yes.

timeline

opened · Sep 24, 2026opencloses · Feb 6, 2027

Economy and cost of living · prices over time

−24h

now

volume · by outcomehover a column to inspect

no volume history