What is the current probability for "Bahrain Grand Prix Qualifying Session: Pole Position"?

Current Kalshi odds for "Bahrain Grand Prix Qualifying Session: Pole Position": Andrea Kimi Antonelli 30%, Max Verstappen 29%, George Russell 26% (top 3 of 22 outcomes), refreshed continuously.

When does this market resolve?

This event resolves on Oct 10, 2026.

How is the probability calculated?

pdata reads the latest market prices directly from kalshi's public API and normalizes them to a 0-100 probability scale. See https://pdata.world/methodology for details on per-platform conventions.

Where can I get this data programmatically?

The JSON endpoint is https://api.pdata.world/api/v1/events/kalshi/KXF1POLE-BAH26. An MCP server with 9 tools is available at https://api.pdata.world/mcp. Full agent guide: https://pdata.world/agents.md.

opentrade on Kalshi

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event22 outcomes

Bahrain Grand Prix Qualifying Session: Pole Position

·Sports·ends Oct 10, 2026

vol cum

$12.2k

vol 24h

$12.2k

outcomes

ends

Oct 10, 2026

outcomesclick to inspect →

showing 5 of 22

marketselected outcome

Andrea Kimi Antonelli

rank #1

30¢

▲ 30.0pp

24h change

vol cum

$481

vol 24h

$481

spread

0.05

ends

Oct 10, 2026

If Andrea Kimi Antonelli set the fastest valid qualifying lap time in the Qualifying session (Q3) originally scheduled for October 3, 2026 that determines the starting grid for the main race at the 2026 Bahrain Grand Prix, then the market resolves to Yes.

timeline

opened · Oct 2, 2026opencloses · Oct 10, 2026

Andrea Kimi Antonelli · prices over time

−24h

now

volume · by outcomehover a column to inspect

no volume history

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