What is the current probability for "Fed funds rate after Oct 2026 meeting?"?

Current Kalshi odds for "Fed funds rate after Oct 2026 meeting?": Above 3.25% 95%, Above 2.75% 89%, Above 3.50% 89% (top 3 of 11 outcomes), refreshed continuously.

When does this market resolve?

This event resolves on 11/4/2026.

How is the probability calculated?

pdata reads the latest market prices directly from kalshi's public API and normalizes them to a 0-100 probability scale. See https://pdata.world/methodology for details on per-platform conventions.

Where can I get this data programmatically?

The JSON endpoint is https://api.pdata.world/api/v1/events/kalshi/KXFED-26OCT. An MCP server with 9 tools is available at https://api.pdata.world/mcp. Full agent guide: https://pdata.world/agents.md.

opentrade on Kalshi

↗

event11 outcomes

Fed funds rate after Oct 2026 meeting?

·Economy·ends Nov 4, 2026

vol cum

$16.3k

vol 24h

$34

outcomes

ends

Nov 4, 2026

outcomesclick to inspect →

showing 5 of 11

marketselected outcome

Above 3.25%

rank #1

United States

95¢

· 0.0pp

24h change

vol cum

$4k

vol 24h

spread

0.20

ends

Nov 4, 2026

If the upper bound of the target federal funds rate published on the Federal Reserve's official website is greater than 3.25% following the Federal Reserve's Oct 28, 2026 meeting, then the market resolves to Yes.

timeline

opened · Aug 6, 2025opencloses · Nov 4, 2026

prices over time · Above 3.25% highlighted

−24h

now

volume · by outcomehover a column to inspect

no volume history